… And into 2012

The 2012 Old Farmer’s Almanac came into the newsroom today and I immediately flipped to the general weather forecast to see what was ahead for us next year. They claim we are in a period of significant change and the low level of sunspot and space weather activity reinforced their read of the long-term weather patterns ahead.

No El Nino or La Nina. It doesn’t look too good for Texas, the almanac says. While milder temperatures are in store for 2012, the drought will continue with below-normal precipitation.

I’m inclined to take their word for it. When Sam was in middle school, to prepare for the science fair, he conducted an experiment to check the accuracy of the the Old Farmer’s Almanac that year — not the general weather forecast, but its prediction for rainfall.

He gave them a B-plus.

Summer of ’11



David Minton shot this in the livestock barn at the North Texas State Fair and Rodeo. You do what you gotta do to stay cool. Today was officially the 63rd day of the summer over 100 degrees.

Meteorologists say we could see relief this weekend, unless a tropical storm forms in the Gulf.

If so, we’re cooked.

Probably Not Probable Cause

Sam started asking me a lot of questions about when might a police officer pull you over, so many that I asked him whether he got pulled over recently.

He had. In Flower Mound.

As far as I can deduce, he got pulled over because the kind of car he was driving and his license plate closely matched someone the police were looking for.

And what was the probable cause, you ask?

Sam still has a frame around his license plate.

He wondered if his identity had been stolen and whether he should turn his car in. We had a long talk about first amendment rights, and private property rights, and who the police work for. I have no idea how much of that sank in.

But tomorrow, we’ll pull the frame off the plate.

The Case Against Long ARDs/IEPs

A Sunday piece in the New York Times (Tierney, John, “Do You Suffer From Decision Fatigue?” Aug. 17, 2011) explained something we figured out instinctively in the Wolfe house a long time ago — don’t make important decisions when you’re tired.

Tierney explains the nuance to it, and its whys and hows. The ability to make good decisions fluctuates; it’s not an inherent trait or a cultivated talent.

(And, as I hoped in taking my GRE in college, a bar of chocolate really does help.)

Tierney, a respected science writer, reports:

… studies show that people with the best self-control are the ones who structure their lives so as to conserve willpower. They don’t schedule endless back-to- back meetings. They avoid temptations like all-you-can-eat buffets, and they establish habits that eliminate the mental effort of making choices. Instead of deciding every morning whether or not to force themselves to exercise, they set up regular appointments to work out with a friend. Instead of counting on willpower to remain robust all day, they conserve it so that it’s available for emergencies and important decisions.

Which leads me to marathon ARD meetings, those all-day deals to decide what educational goals — and resources — will be devoted to your child for an entire year.

That whole go-around-the-table report thing? That can wear you down like a bride and groom trying to decide what to register for.

And plodding through each individual goal? You may just take the recommendation, rather than contribute to meaningfully to the weighing of different values.

As if special needs parents aren’t worn down to begin with. Yet, parents aren’t part of ARD meeting preparations. They need to review test results and be able to check for their own understanding of the findings. They need to understand the goals and objectives of the speech therapist, the teacher, the occupational therapist, the counselor. More than ever, I’m convinced that the document dump and stilted discussion that occurs at typical ARD meetings guarantees parents will have damaging decision-fatigue, and in the way that Tierney describes it.

We never put a lot of stock in most of the meetings … as long as resource and treatment options were open. We worked on goals for Sam in other ways.

But for parents who have a lot riding on the outcome of the meetings, it’s no wonder that they can turn hostile.

Just like the salesman who wears you down in order to raise his commission, you feel taken. Combine that with the ferociousness any parent has in protecting their child, and you’ve got a meltdown in the making.

My Dad is Socrates

After a long discussion about this summer’s horrendous heat wave …

Peggy: I confess. In years’ past, I would be grateful if we had only a few days over 100 degrees.

Dad: Is that really a good way to live?

Peggy: Ummmm, no.

Overheard in the Wolfe House #124

Sam: You forgot to tell me to take the trash up.

Peggy: Did you?

Sam: Yes.

Peggy: Did you bring the can back?

Sam: Yes.

Peggy: Wow, you sure took a lot of initiative while I was gone.

Sam: I get my groove on when I know you are going to be away.

Overheard in the Wolfe House #123

At the top of an email chain Sam forwarded about visiting Marbridge Village.



Peggy: We can find another day to visit since they can’t meet us Labor Day. Meanwhile, you can answer their question that the visit is for you, not you asking for me.

Sam: I already did that.